 Poster: A snowHead
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12z GFS going for a cold end to August with temperatures -8C below average in the Alps on bank holiday Monday if that plays out (obviously nine days out that comes pretty heavily caveated).
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Obviously A snowHead isn't a real person
Obviously A snowHead isn't a real person
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@nozawaonsen, nice, freeze levels to 2000 if above plays out.
I really must get out more on Friday nights, but someone tell the good people of western scotland that a large penguin is headed their way.
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Well, the person's real but it's just a made up name, see?
Well, the person's real but it's just a made up name, see?
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Still looking at a (probably) short sharp shock in the Alps for the time of year Sunday into Tuesday.
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Anyway, snowHeads is much more fun if you do.
Anyway, snowHeads is much more fun if you do.
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| nozawaonsen wrote: |
Still looking at a (probably) short sharp shock in the Alps for the time of year Sunday into Tuesday.
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a bit of cooler weather would be nice, still 26C today and very muggy.
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@davidof, 31C in Salzburg. Just to be clear the cooler weather looks like being a week away.
Chamonix
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Cold weather arriving Saturday on 12z GFS.
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You'll get to see more forums and be part of the best ski club on the net.
You'll get to see more forums and be part of the best ski club on the net.
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Interesting long range forecast:
ECMWF sees below normal snowfall across the UK and Turkey during winter 2018-19, but abundant snow in the vicinity of the Swiss Alps.
From: bennollweather.com
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snowHeads are a friendly bunch.
snowHeads are a friendly bunch.
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Stealth advert 
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And love to help out and answer questions and of course, read each other's snow reports.
And love to help out and answer questions and of course, read each other's snow reports.
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Looks like some colder northerly winds hitting Western Europe this weekend.
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| nozawaonsen wrote: |
Cold weather arriving Saturday on 12z GFS.
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00z GFS and ECM still going for it.
If forecasts are correct it would give us some sleet around town at 1100m.
August is the only month I have yet to see sleet or snow at that level. Would give me a full house.
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You know it makes sense.
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Otherwise you'll just go on seeing the one name:
Otherwise you'll just go on seeing the one name:
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06z GFS main run seems to have reined in the low temps a bit.
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Poster: A snowHead
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Obviously A snowHead isn't a real person
Obviously A snowHead isn't a real person
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Well, the person's real but it's just a made up name, see?
Well, the person's real but it's just a made up name, see?
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Funny as other scientists say we going to a cooldown.
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You need to Login to know who's really who.
You need to Login to know who's really who.
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| Mr.Egg wrote: |
Funny as other scientists say we going to a cooldown. |
Would you like to link to any of those "scientists"? I'd put money on them been employed by oil companies or rightwing nut jobs.
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Anyway, snowHeads is much more fun if you do.
Anyway, snowHeads is much more fun if you do.
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| Daishan wrote: |
| Mr.Egg wrote: |
Funny as other scientists say we going to a cooldown. |
Would you like to link to any of those "scientists"? I'd put money on them been employed by oil companies or rightwing nut jobs. |
You can google it yourself
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You'll need to Register first of course.
You'll need to Register first of course.
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| Quote: |
Would you like to link to any of those "scientists"? I'd put money on them been employed by oil companies or rightwing nut jobs.
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I think Jeremy corby's brother is one of them. He is definitely not right wing or funded by "big oil"
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You'll get to see more forums and be part of the best ski club on the net.
You'll get to see more forums and be part of the best ski club on the net.
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im not going to spoon feed you.
your capable of using search engines.
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@Mr.Egg, are you from Holland?
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snowHeads are a friendly bunch.
snowHeads are a friendly bunch.
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00z and 06z GFS main runs back on track for extremely cool temps next Sunday. They are both slight outliers on the cold side so probably won't be as cool as they predict.
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And love to help out and answer questions and of course, read each other's snow reports.
And love to help out and answer questions and of course, read each other's snow reports.
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@Mr.Egg, and @Daishan, Play nicely please 
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I think Mr Egg is from Illinois......................................
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You know it makes sense.
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Otherwise you'll just go on seeing the one name:
Otherwise you'll just go on seeing the one name:
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Poster: A snowHead
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@mooney058, indeed, get those winter tyres ordered before the rush.
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Obviously A snowHead isn't a real person
Obviously A snowHead isn't a real person
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| polo wrote: |
| @mooney058, indeed, get those winter tyres ordered before the rush. |
Indeed, mine need to be replaced Nokian wr Suv 4 is the favourite for order in a months time
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Well, the person's real but it's just a made up name, see?
Well, the person's real but it's just a made up name, see?
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Just noticed GWV has also looked at ECM and MF models....using MSLP and temp anomalies, he concludes MF looks mild and wet, ECM is much cooler.
None of it really matters tbh, but if anyone interested, there's ton's of long range stuff on this site.
https://climate.copernicus.eu/s/charts/c3s_seasonal/
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You need to Login to know who's really who.
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For Hintertux it’s now looking like 40cm plus on Sunday down to 1800m.
Temperatures then warming up. Just the furthest ripple of winter reaching us.
Beautiful hot sunshine hiking in Salzkammergut today.
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Anyway, snowHeads is much more fun if you do.
Anyway, snowHeads is much more fun if you do.
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I'd love to see 40cm at 1800m.....get to strap on my new massive snowshoes. Does seem like Hintertux hits the jackpot, nothing like that in the west.
The short term models are all over the place with the precipitation calcs....seems more pronounced in summer, when even Arome, Arepge, ICON, WRF etc either completely miss storms, or massivley over egg them.
Looks like GFS trying to slide another low across under scandi blocking at month end.....but little support elsewhere.
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actually there is support for GFS above, I hadn't looked closely enough, ECM Op and GEM on same page
This from wepowder for the w/e
"There is a real temperature drop where the snow line drops quickly only on Saturday and Sunday. The front lingers over the eastern Alps and especially in the main alpine ridge of Austria and the bordering regions in Italy it snows and rains heavily. The snow line drops from 3900 meters on Friday to 2500 and later even temporarily to 2000 meters on Saturday and Sunday".
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Towering Cumulonimbus blocking out the sun now. Sharp crackling thunder rolling round the mountains. Tales of very heavy rain heading south from Munich. Time to retire with a Stiegl.
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You'll get to see more forums and be part of the best ski club on the net.
You'll get to see more forums and be part of the best ski club on the net.
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As well as localised flooding there were also a couple of forest fires caused by lightning strikes. Busy evening for the fire brigade.
Weak blue skies for the timebeing in Salzburgerland, but the risk of heavy rainfall again later today.
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Lots of rain on the way to Ski Amade. Never seen a spike this big in a short-term forecast.
May well be falling on already saturated land.
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