 Poster: A snowHead
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Another bad season closes in France with many mid mountain domains either shut or closing early.
What does next winter hold?
On the negative side, the North Atlantic remains over 1C above average. For the last two winters this has placed the alps in a warm south-westerly airstream with little influence from the arctic. This has flipped temperatures +3C on average warmer. Bad news for both Putin hoping to freeze Europe and any ski resort with the temerity to have its pistes below 1500 meters altitude.
Will there be a return to mean next winter? Predictions are for a long, hot summer but we are also at the solar maximum and El Nino should start to subside by the end of the summer. Will this lead to a cooler atlantic and a return to winter next year?
I'm kind of thinking of a cooler winter, a third warm winter in a row will finish off a lot of ski areas for good, maybe not ones snowheads traditonally ski in but the crowds will go to where they do ski.
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Obviously A snowHead isn't a real person
Obviously A snowHead isn't a real person
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2024 = El Nino = hot
2025 = La Nina = cold
Winter 2024-25 in the Northern Hemisphere looks set to be cold and snowy.
Especially, North America.
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Well, the person's real but it's just a made up name, see?
Well, the person's real but it's just a made up name, see?
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https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/science-environment-68665166
The scientists are of course undecided...
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Dr Schmidt is concerned about what this means for predictions going forward.
"Our predictions failed quite dramatically for the specifics of 2023, and if previous statistics don't work, then it becomes much harder to say what's going to happen in the future," he said.
"We're still trying to understand why the situation changed so dramatically in the middle of last year, and how long this situation will continue, whether it is a phase shift or whether it's a blip in long-term climate trends," agrees Dr Samantha Burgess from Copernicus. |
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You need to Login to know who's really who.
You need to Login to know who's really who.
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Lets hope it's cold and snowy, i've got lots of plans. But first, we need to finish this season first! 4 weeks left 
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Anyway, snowHeads is much more fun if you do.
Anyway, snowHeads is much more fun if you do.
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Pedantry alert; if talking about a given year, then the variation is more about weather than climate. El nino and la Nina are weather patterns than have a greater year-on-year impact than climate change.
My guesses are that most of the following will be true.
Most commercial ski areas in the northern hemisphere will get more than 1 big dump of snow
Most commercial ski areas in the northern hemisphere will get at least 1 excessively warm spell
In most resorts, the average temperature will be higher than the average over the last 20 years
At some point, in most ski areas, a well respected and experienced expert will say that some aspect of the current conditions is unprecedented
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